HP bought Snapfish, but I think the comparison to Yahoo/Flickr is less interesting than a comparison to Apple. Apple enhanced hardware by adding software and services (iTunes -> Music Store), lengthening the value chain and creating an integrated system that makes it easy for people to buy what they want. It’s also a razor/blades situation. HP is doing the same thing, connecting their cameras to a service to printers and supplies.
Month: March 2005
-
Information Esthetics lecture series in NYC
A group calling themselves Information Esthetics have formed to examine “making data meaningful” with an expansive view on how that happens. They plan a promising lecture series including folks like Judith Donath and Bill Buxton which will be right around the corner from my office and cost a whopping $3. Bless them.
-
When marketing isn’t enough
Recently I was telling an insurance industry executive about Tonik, an affiliate of Blue Cross of California that only offers health insurance to “the young invincibles” — people in their 20’s. At first glance he thought this was niche marketing, nothing new. But Tonik is different, it’s a whole new subsidiary that created new products tailored to their audience. The marketing is important to initially lure prospects in, but relevant products, easy-to-understand forms, and online-based service are more likely to convert prospects to long-term customers. They’re offering more by going beyond marketing-as-facade.
Viewing Tonik as a business rather than a product line (or niche marketing) helps us understand its implications. I think Tonik qualifies as a disruptive attack in the insurance industry, because:
- It focuses on a low-margin audience other companies are ignoring
- Through self-service and use of the Internet they keep their costs down
- As this audience gets older they will naturally look to Tonik for expanded coverage
I don’t think marketing as traditionally understood would be enough to create Tonik, it requires business design skills:
- Traditional disciplines like marketing aren’t holistic enough to address the entire challenge
- Abductive thinking is needed to create something new and better
- There is no discrete problem statement in this projects; tools are needed to prioritize and synthesize variables in the environment, like integrating creative product potential with financial potential
If we take the term Business Design literally — the designing of businesses — we get a sense of the scope of the challenges at hand. Design thinking excels at dealing with “wicked” problems that are complex and ill-defined, requiring abductive and integrative thinking to address the creation of whole businesses.
-
The Story of the Weeping Camel
“The Story of the Weeping Camel” is the best movie I’ve seen recently. Their description introduces it nicely…
An enchanting tale about a family of herders in Mongolia’s Gobi desert who face a crisis when a mother camel unexpectedly rejects her newborn calf. Uniquely composed of equal parts reality, drama and magic, the movie provides a window into a different way of life and the universal terrain of the heart.
-
The Wisdom of Crowds: cognition problems
More notes from James Surowiecki’s The Wisdom of Crowds…
As an example of solving cognition problems, he discusses decision markets like The Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), which has generally outperformed election polls. Over time, they are also less volatile than polls, changing less dramatically to new information. The IEM is not big or diverse, involving only about 800 people, mostly men from Iowa. It and the Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX) work well without much — or any — money at stake. David Pennock found that ‘status and reputation proved incentive enough to encourage serious investment of time and energy in what is, after all, a game.’
Bees in a hive send out scouts who return and do a waggle dance to indicate the quality of nectar they’ve found. The dance attracts a certain number of forager bees according to how intense the dance is. It’s a natural way to distribute the hive’s resources across finding opportunities and pursuing them. The bees scout and explore simultaneously rather than scout, analyze and act.
Overly-homogenous groups, even smart ones, are less able to find good solutions over time than more diverse groups, even if the latter’s overall intelligence is lower. James G. March, an organizational theorist, said that groups that are too much alike find it hard to keep learning, because each member brings less and less new information to the group, and ‘they spend too much time exploiting and not enough time exploring.’ Irving Janis found homogeneous groups are more susceptible to groupthink. Soloman Asch found individuals will deny what they believe is the truth in order to confer with a group (although this is easy to rectify).
Expertise is, in many contexts, overrated. Expertise can be narrowly focused, as Herbert Simon found in his study of chess players. Experts’ judgments are often not consistent with other experts’ judgments , and experts aren’t good at judging the accuracy of their own judgments (exceptions were bridge players and weather forecasters). Wharton professor J. Scott Armstrong’s ‘seer-sucker theory’: ‘No matter how much evidence exists that seers do not exist, suckers will pay for the existence of seers.‘
-
Design thinking isn’t just for designers anymore
My colleagues and I realized recently that although designers are (obviously) a primary source of the design thinking at the heart of business design, the proposition that only designers possess the thinking skills required is a little arrogant and even a little separatist. In fact, the most interesting writing on the subject thus far has come from the academic community.
Edward de Bono has argued that our present situation — relying on judgment thinking — began as a matter of ignorance…
Most people, in business and elsewhere, have done very well on judgment thinking. Such people are rarely aware of the need for ‘design thinking’. They find it difficult to conceive that there is a whole other aspect of thinking that is different from judgment thinking. It is not that such people are complacent. It is simply that they do not know that there is another aspect to thinking.
As design thinking enters the business world, I’ll be interested to see the proportion of designers to managers involved.
-
The Wisdom of Crowds: Intro
James Surowiecki’s The Wisdom of Crowds is the best book I’ve read in a while. In it he forwards a compelling thesis:
If you put together a big enough and diverse enough group of people and ask them to make decisions affecting matters of general interest that group’s decision will, over time, be intellectually superior to the isolated individual no matter how smart or well-informed he is.
This strikes me as a useful tool in the business design toolbox, where constant collaboration with people with a diversity of opinions and from multiple disciplines raises the quality of work.
He addresses three kinds of problems:
- Cognition problems, that have or will have definitive solutions
- Coordination problems, that require members of a group to figure out how to coordinate their behavior with each other
- Cooperation problems, that involve the challenge of getting self-interested, distrustful people to work together
And he identifies four conditions that characterize wise crowds:
- diversity of opinion (each person should have some private information, even if it’s just an eccentric interpretation of the known facts)
- independence (people’s opinions are not determined by the opinions of those around them)
- decentralization (people are able to specialize and draw on local knowledge)
- aggregation (some mechanism exists for turning private judgments into collective decisions)
The rest of the book is dedicated to telling stories that illustrate and explain the above four conditions. More in future posts…
-
Focusing on business design
At the Information Architecture Summit there was a strong thread of interest in business and management (my hypothesis for this centers on two trends: the population bell curve places many IAs at an age where they are rapidly moving into management for the first time, and as a discipline IAs have already invented many of the technical skills they need to get that job done). In this environment many were interested in my new-ish company — Management Innovation Group — and appreciated our approach. Our chats started early and ended late and I heard many helpful ideas and skepticism, especially from the wise and thoughtful Jess McMullin. That’s going to fuel many of my future posts here; you’ve been warned.
The approach has been termed Business Design, though that framing of it isn’t entirely satisfactory. My working definition is The application of design thinking to business strategy and operations. I’ll talk more about what I mean by design thinking in future posts, but for now the best description I know is Jeanne Liedtka’s essay Strategy as Design in the Rotman design issue (.pdf), required reading on the subject.
-
Away to Montreal
I’m off to Montreal for the information architecture summit and traveling incommunicado, or at least sans powerbook. If you need me, ring.
-
The Information Architecture Institute
It’s official, AIfIA is now the The Information Architecture Institute. Dig the new logo and design courtesy James Spahr, designer extraordinaire.
-
Stanford’s d.school
“Be a part of the design thinking movement“